The Euro 2020 quarter-finals will be complete today, with England hoping to end a run of disappointing results at this stage of the tournament.

Each time they have made the last eight, the match has gone to extra-time and penalties – suffering shoot-out heartache on the last two occasions. It’s something that our win probability model does not see happening on his occasion at Euro 2020 against Ukraine though.

The day’s other fixtures sees Denmark looking to continue their incredible turn of form in front of net against Czech Republic. Having only scored once with their first 44 shots in the tournament, they’ve since found the back of the net eight times out of following 31 chances.

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