There’s not many teams who have held the upper hand over Pep Guardiola since he came to the Premier League, but Chelsea might be the nearest thing the Manchester City manager has to kryptonite at the moment.

Chelsea have won their last three games in all competitions against Manchester City (taking into account the FA Cup, Premier League and UEFA Champions League) and could become the first side to record four successive victories over Guardiola in his managerial career. However, our win probability model actually believes the Cityzens will come out on top in this one.

PredictionChelsea v Manchester CityWatford v NewcastleArsenal v Spurs
Opta Analyst CommunityChelsea Win (47.8%)Watford Win (49.1%)Arsenal Win (36.7%)
Win Probability Super ComputerManchester City (46.4%)Watford Win (37.6%)Arsenal Win (36.0%)
Ollie HopkinsChelsea WinWatford WinDraw
Matt FurnissChelsea WinWatford WinSpurs Win
Kevin ChroustChelsea WinDrawDraw
Jon ManuelDrawWatford WinDraw
Duncan AlexanderChelsea WinDrawArsenal Win
Graham BellDrawDrawDraw
Andy CooperChelsea WinAston Villa WinDraw

We also preview the rest of the Premier League action from gameweek six, including a featured look at Watford’s latest match against their favourite opponents (at least in terms of points gained) in Newcastle. And of course, we can’t help but close in on the North London Derby and the latest meeting between Arsenal and Spurs.

Game Week 5Season Percentage
Matt Furniss1 of 353.3%
Opta Analyst Community1 of 346.6%
Qwinn Model1 of 346.6%
Andy Cooper1 of 346.6%
Jonny Whitmore1 of 340.0%
Graham Bell1 of 333.3%
Ollie Hopkins1 of 333.3%
Kevin Chroust1 of 333.3%
Duncan Alexander1 of 325.0%
Jon Manuel22.2%

Don’t forget you can vote in the polls each week on our Twitter account